Labors Shayne Neumann is all voice and no action and is taking the constituents of Blair for granted. I think Neumann will hold unless the Labor+Green vote is below 45% since there will be leakage between different right-wing candidates to push him over the line. I dont think any of the eastern states can be ignored period. Oxley. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. The race on election night will between Labor and the Greens to see who comes second and will be the beneficiary of the other's preferences. information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. In the 2022 cycle, EMILYs List-endorsed candidates had big wins at every level of government. There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. What are your views on NSW despite not living here? These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. The Sydney seats that could serve up a surprise at this election. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. It is currently represented by Milton Dick , the current Speaker of the House of Representatives, Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Strewths sources say Peter Dutton, Stuart Robert and Karen from Home Affairs are still waiting for the green light to go home when parliament rises on Thursday. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. are you a VICTORIAN, or some other sub-species. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. (Par with 2004, or is this the worst since 1996?). @Votante Before their spills I thought the Liberals and Nationals both choosing their leaders from Queensland was an odd choice given its played up as being important to their performance, because they just have no more room to expand upon here anymore. There is still room for improvement in QLD for the LNP. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. McDermott was part of . At a state election, electors in each electoral district vote for one candidate to represent them in parliament. These attitudes are likely to be more mild and disengaged with politics, instead preoccupied with their own lives and aspiration. Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. The division is named after the Australian explorer, John Oxley. 1. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Additionally the PHON vote will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? Secretary of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. Defended the Democratic Senate majority. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . Election Platform 2022. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. Now federal senators are . Please dont . Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. His party sent out fliers to almost everyone here. For all the brouhaha this will remain a Labor seat. Hanson's brief tenure represents the only time since 1961 that the seat has been out of Labor hands. Madura McCormack @maduramccormack less than 2 min read April 20, 2022 - 12:00AM QLD Politics A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. Councillor, Richlands Ward, Brisbane City Council from 2008 to 2016. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. In early 1983 Hayden resigned as leader and was replaced by Hawke, only hours before Malcolm Fraser called an early election. Labor supposedly has two fabulous senators, Murray Watt, & Anthony Chisolm. Community Development jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. State/Territory MPs. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. Labor is visionless and uninspiring as of 2021, compare Albo to Kevin 07 and Obama 08. Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? But it is understood Mr Green has resigned, to be replaced by Kyle McMillen, a former Lilley candidate and military veteran who works for defence firm Rheinmetall. History Blair was created at the 1998 election, one of a number of seats created in Queensland over the last few decades. Well we all know who is going to win this fight Mother Dick !!. Electors enrolled: 104,214 (at 10.6.2019). These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. A Queensland Health directive seen by Strewth specifies: Government elected representatives from declared Australian hotspots who are travelling to Queensland to perform official duties are permitted to come to Queensland despite the two-week pause. The term LNP is only used in Queensland. Page. Ipswich mayor Teresa Jane Harding and former LNP candidate for Blair has rejected approaches from the LNP to stand here. More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. Hanson appeared on the ballot paper as a Liberal, but had been disendorsed by the party during the campaign for remarks she made concerning Aborigines. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. Stronger Communities Round 8 - EOIs now Open! Sound jobs now available in Oxley ACT 2903. He served as Leader of the Opposition on Council from 2012 but retired at the 2016 election after winning pre-selection for Oxley. I can tell one Dick, from another (Dick) !. ALP retain. They will absolutely dominate the ground game all the way up until polls close. Labor needs to make inroads in outer suburbs of Brisbane and the inner regions of Queensland because there really is not much territory else where to go. How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK Greens movement Toggle. Location: The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. Media incorrectly claims there are no Labor Marginals in the state when this actually still is marginal (5.3%). Chetan Sahai Candidate for Sydney. But just not overwhelminly. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. The Liberal Party preselected former Ipswich councillor Pauline Hanson as their candidate in 1996. Polls dont decide elections voters do. This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. Labor are so aligned to the Greens, that they do not respect nor understand the intelligence and fortitude of Blairs rural constituents nor across Australia as a whole. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Avica, 153 Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226. We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. Select 'Federal electorate'. Labor will probably hang on, but if the political realignment of blue collar voters towards the LNP continues they may well lose this sear. Oxley is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of New South Wales. It is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision ?. Check INEC Presidential Election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC Portal so far. I suggest Cook since its the most boring seat. Choose an option from the drop-down menu (electorate, locality/suburb or postcode). Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. The FEA period for the regularly scheduled elections start on 05/31/2022. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Could Australia ban TikTok? Political Nightwatchman Home; News. Why do juries view crime scenes like the Murdaugh estate?,Jurors in Alex Murdaugh's murder trial will get a chance to see for themselves the rural hunting estate where his wife and son were killed. Please walk round for a drink sometime my number is 0425365419 The electorate may have lost Ipswich over several redistributions between 1996 and 2007, but Ipswich was replaced by equally strong Labor voting territory around Inala.The most dramatic feature of the Oxley graph is the collapse in Labor support between 1993 and 1996. Id say Dutton as leader probably would help them retain the regional and outer-suburban QLD seats like Flynn, Longman, Petrie and Dickson and possibly gain Blair and Lyons from Labor but thats about it. The main parties on the ballot include the Australian Labor Party, the Coalition (Liberal and National parties), the Greens, the United Australia Party, the Liberal Democrats and One Nation. With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Peter Duttons appeal in Queensland is overrated. Hayden faced a leadership threat from former ACTU president Bob Hawke, who had entered Parliament in 1980. The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. Morrison leads the preferred PM so he is more popular. Most of Blairs population lives in the urban area around the centre of Ipswich, and these have been divided into Central, North and East. Election results in Blair at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and One Nation. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Is that so? TrendRadars. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001. I am not a party hack please dont use that label please, I am interested in politics as much as you are, as much as everyone here is, We are entitled to have our own opinions without attacking one another and thats how it should be. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. I also find it confusing that more rural areas are more prone to voting in favour of the LNP. This LNP government are woeful to say the least. RESULTS AT 2019 ELECTION. This shows concern about what is happening to that base. Unless of course you mean the LNP specifically in QLD; its hard to tell on this site since we all use the terms interchanegably! Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. In 2019, it had not only been globalisation which had been a perceived threat to job-security in the region, action against climate change had been at a fever pitch in the election, Coalition and the micro-parties took advantage of this while Labor didnt offer a compelling vision of opportunity for QLDs regions. Now it's our turn in Oxley. Customer Service Representative, Daycare Teacher, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. Area 159 sq km Location description The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". Our People Toggle. I live in the Blair electorate and have never heard of him. Ls. Milton Dick was Labor's Queensland State Secretary from 2003 until retiring from the position after the 2007 federal election to contest and win Richlands ward at the 2008 Brisbane City Council elections. The Stronger Communities Programme provides grants of between $2,500 and $20,000 for not-for-profit community organisations and local governments to deliver small capital projects that deliver social benefits and boost local community participation, including small-scale infrastructure upgrades, fit-outs and equipment purchases. The LNP managed 52.4% in the north. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. QLD is a no mans land for Labor federally. How insulting. I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Greens Shop. Another tossup at this stage, Labor could be in serious danger here if they have another poor showing. This is an atrocity for them. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. DEMOGRAPHICS. Hanson achieved the country's largest anti-Labor swing of more than 19%. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. Campaign hub Key dates Saturday 21 May Counting of votes Friday 3 June Last day for receipt of declaration votes Tuesday 28 June Return of writs Sunday 10 April . The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. An official website of the United States government. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. 1996,1977 and 1975 were all better for the coalition and worse for Labor. On a state level, Labor has increased their vote in the region and have popular members. History . The seat covers the urban area of Ipswich and rural areas to the west, and towns such as Esk and Kilcoy. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. In public opinion polls, the economy has consistently ranked among the most important issues for registered voters ahead of Election Day. I propose that the neighbouring Moreton would sooner fall to LNP. Gideon Rasmussen is a Cybersecurity Management Consultant with over 20 years of experience in corporate and military organizations. Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com electorate Officer to senator the Hon final months... Kevin 07 and Obama 08 Find it confusing that more rural areas here even the! Get to know the candidates for the Coalition and worse for Labor on Indeed.com Officer... These attitudes are likely to be a leader who is going to win this fight Dick... 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Blair electorate and have popular members electorate Officer to senator the Hon actually! Stand here with politics, instead preoccupied with their own lives and aspiration say the least doesnt. The 2016 election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned parliament! Backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself local and a good share will to!