Out of the four this seat is probably the Liberals best chance of retaining. Jamie Van Burgel, Vimal Kumar Sharma and Greg Smith. If no candidate meets that threshold, the top two vote-getters will advance to a November 8 general election. FREE footy tipping is here! . Related Articles The Division of Canning stretches from Byford and Carmel in the north to Wagerup in the south, and is largely based around the Peel region of Western Australia to the south of Perth. Advertisement Ad Local News Oh gee, she's Sandra Dee: Peel actress steps into iconic Grease role A teacher who ran as an independent in the 2014 Senate re-election and the 2014 Vasse by-election. Because he stood up to the Taliban and hell stand up to criminals.. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Chonko said she will listen to Avon parents and voters. Polling is showing a swing to Labor a couple of percent higher than the national average. The loss of Boddington reduces the area of the electorate by around a third but the number of voters involved is small and the Liberal margin remains unchanged on 11.6%. Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties' campaigns, and key issues in Canning. Make sure all voices are respectfully heard. Vanessa Rauland, with Senators Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert is standing for the Greens. Hastie has cleverly linked this to the ice epidemic, which has recently been in the national news. As a single mother, she also said she had balanced work and parenthood like so many other Western Australians. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Hastie was appointed Assistant Minister for Defence in December 2020. Its easy to sell the message that sure, he may have grown up in the area, but he lives in the trendy inner suburb of Mount Lawley and he is clearly part of the Labor political class. Name Derivation: Jointly named in honour of: Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 1930-2008. The Liberal Party has held the seat since 2001. Expect all the WA seats to have a larger than average swing to Labor the question is how large. He serves on the Joint Statutory committee on Intelligence and Security and the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade. Booths are split into four areas. Click here to learn more about the city's mayoral election. While I do not support it, I support the idea of letting Australian men and women decide the issue rather than politicians. History Canning was first created for the expansion of the House of Representatives in 1949. On this screen you will find First Preferences and Two Candidate Preferred, Updated: Friday, 09 October 2015 01:14:15 PM, the number of votes and the percentage of the formal vote received by each candidate, the swing as measured as the difference between the percentage of first preference votes received by a party candidate at this election and the percentage of the first preference votes received by that party's candidate in the comparable polling places at the previous election. Waldeck has worked throughout Perth in various management and supervisory roles in hospitality and construction. Its largest population centre is the City of Mandurah local government area to the south of Perth, also taking in the rural Boddington, Waroona, Murray and Serpentine-Jarrahdale Shires. This steady transfer of Mandurah from Brand to Canning has strengthened Labor's position in Brand and weakened it in Canning. If elected he said he would guarantee integrity, authenticity and determination. For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Ive delivered funding for infrastructure and essential services our fast-growing region needs, like the Lakelands Train Station, he said. Her life experiences have opened up opportunities to speak for those who have no voice and those who feel they have no choice. Andriette du Plessis is an endorsed nurse practitioner and works in general practice and a variety of aged care facilities. Mandurah is kind of a hybrid of a Perth Suburb and its own city, and the rest is rural-ish (except Byford which is also basically a suburb. Q: How large a swing will Labor need to attain to worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle? This screen shows the results for a particular division. For the early part of its history it was contested between the Liberal Party and the Country Party, and since the 1980s the seat has become much more of a Labor-Liberal marginal seat, usually being held by the party winning government. My training and experience has taught me you have to work with everyone to find long-term solutions to issues. Q: How important is national security as an issue in the byelection? In 2007, WorkChoices didnt resonate in WA because we were in a sellers market for labour due to the boom. I believe Andrew Hastie is one of the strongest performers with his conviction on international issues (such as China). Returning to develop an agricultural project in southwest WA, Gardiner has since pursued a passion for writing and publishing in various contracts over the past 15 years, and maintains a strong interest in defence matters. As Hastie gains more prominence in the hard right faction of the Liberal Party, he may be seen as a Dutton 2.0 which might make him the target of Getup or other such groups. Note: The electoral division was jointly named for the federal election following the 2019 federal election . Labor should not be diverted from making this byelection a referendum on the Abbott government. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Q: Two-and-a-half weeks out, what are you seeing in the polling data? What went wrong for Labor? the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages received for this election, the corresponding percentages received for the last election, and swing. In mid-2015 Randall died suddenly, producing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Prime Ministership. This election is a chance for Canning to send a strong message to Tony Abbott that hes taking Australia in the wrong direction. He said the Liberal and Labor duopoly had run Australia into the ground while ever expanding their spending, their reach, and their power over how citizens live their lives. A: The Perth to Mandurah rail line was a great public policy success that everybody associates with the last state Labor government. Armadale being the area of the Canning electorate which is the most naturally favourable area of it for Labor and also the area that swung . For most of its last three decades, it has been a highly marginal seat due to the balanced proportion of the urban north and the rural south, changing hands between the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal Party. You have to remember that back in 2010, Don Randall was MP here, and he would have been the reason MacTiernan lost. Candidate profile: Tara Tatman for Avon School Board, November 2021 Defeating Gerick was Don Randall, who had previously represented Swan 1996-98. A: Western Australians are probably more likely to be supportive of the FTA given we see our economy as so dependent on China. Tatman, 41, said she would continue to ensure that the district is keeping per pupil spending low while ensuring all students have access to educational content that meet their needs. University of Western Australia provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. The third most important area currently is moving past the effects of the novel coronavirus pandemic. 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A: I think if the Liberals can limit the swing to below 8%, they can spin that. He worked as Sandusky bureau chief from 2000 to 2008. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. | Paul Pahoresky, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot concedes defeat, Southern California home sales fall to all-time low, Zero-calorie sweetener linked to heart attack and stroke, study finds, As many as 700,000 Illinois residents could lose Medicaid health coverage this year, Balloon ban made official in Laguna Beach, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. Mr Bedford comes from a working-class family who have lived in Mandurah for 50 years. Avon students education may be enhanced by expanding course and extra-curricular offerings. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. She has worked in roles from check-out operator to hospitality positions and lost her administration job because she refused to have the COVID-19 vaccine mandated in her workplace. He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. The people of Canning need an experienced advocate to take up their concerns in Canberra and thats what I will be. Minister for Industry, Energy and Emissions Reduction Angus Taylor, left, and Federal Member for Canning Andrew Hastie at Alcoa Pinjarra Alumina Refinery. Labors MP for Burt Matt Keogh failed to win the seat in a bye-election and Alannah Mactiernan gamble of giving up her state career to contest the seat failed in winning the seat. Federal election campaigning is in full swing as Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese face off on the national stage. If elected, Mr Bedford believes he can make Canning and Western Australia an even better place for everyone to live. A teacher who was the Family First candidate for the seat of Fremantle in 2013 and Hasluck in 2010. Held by the Liberal Party for the last 21 years, Labor is targeting Canning in its blitz of key seats it hopes to take from the Libs. But how can they sell tax cuts without dismantling the rest of their argument about restoring the budget? She worked across many fields, specialising in critical care, emergency, and trauma ICU, before immigrating to Australia in 2002. Candidate profile: Laura Chonko for Avon School Board, November 2021 No Mandatory Vaccine candidate for Darling Range at the 2021 WA election. Theres bound to be some areas that are supportive of the rhetoric otherwise why would the Libs decided to be so hawkish. I keep going back to Armadale versus Mandurah. Skip to main content. She also has a heart for the homeless and disadvantaged and is actively involved in outreach programs that assist the homeless population. . (Map). And if there is any anti-politician sentiment its less likely to be taken out on Labor. We should strive to graduate upstanding citizens who are critical thinkers and cherish our American values of liberty, equality and justice for all. But if he is even close to Bob Hawke that would be plenty better than what we are being offered now. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. First Election This Boundary Was Used At: First federal election following the 2019 federal election. The No.1 issue Ill be pursuing is creating jobs. Alfred Wernam Canning, 18601936. On the coast the electorate also includes Mandurah, Dawesville and most of the Mandurah City Council area. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. Canning covers 4,245 square kilometres. Election | She started her career in nursing in 1983 in South Africa. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Two polls from ReachTEL have shown the Liberal Party with a primary vote of 47%, and if thats right theyre going to bolt home. He said he was committed to supporting bigger causes, and believed there was none bigger than human rights. Canning is probably quite a fortuitous electorate for the Liberals to be facing a byelection in because its got a reasonably old and settled population profile. Siwes describes herself as one of nine children from a hard-working family and states that she has seen her fair share of poverty and the toll on families caused by the injustices of the family law courts. The electorates also extends into Perth's Darling Range suburbs to include Karragullen and Roleystone. Amanda Hunt, chief executive of Uniting WA, will run as the Labor candidate in Canning. Federal election 2022 candidates for the Canning electorate. The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 56.8% in Mandurah North to 62.5% in the south. Moffat is a civil litigation lawyer, mother and environmental activist. Tony Abbott was able to gain traction using a scare campaign on the CPRS. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. History [ edit] The Canning Stock Route. It would be very handy for parts of the electorate to have the Armadale line extended to Byford. Ive also seen comparisons to Geelong, but Mandurah is close enough to Perth sprawl and a lot smaller. The focus on the candidates, and the stories about Hastie, has been good for the Liberals. The Sunday Times and PerthNow asked the leaders of the three big parties, Liberals, Labor and Greens, to state their cases on why people should vote for them. (Click on polling place for results)There were Liberal Party majorities recorded at 41 of the 43 polling places used in 2019, the Liberal two-party vote above 60% in 25. Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. The less the focus is on national concerns the happier theyll be. As an incumbent, I have been involved in the districts decision-making over the past 12 years including the hiring of former Superintendent Mike Laub and current Superintendent Ben Hodge, Weigman said. With a couple of days to go until it's time to hit the voting booths on May 21, the Mail has summed up what your local candidates are advocating for. In the Avon School Board, November 2021 no Mandatory Vaccine candidate for Darling Range suburbs include. Miriam Canning MBE, 1930-2008 vote-getters will advance to a November 8 canning electorate candidates election for the last election, top! 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